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What fires can teach L.A.
Destructive blazes are a social and systemic problem, experts say, not a seasonal one.
Soon after catastrophic fires swept through Pacific Palisades and Altadena, wildfire experts Stephen Pyne and Jack Cohen were in high demand. Respected for their historical and scientific expertise, they provided commentary and perspective.
Although neither live in California, they are familiar with its topography, its devil winds and hillsides ready to combust, and their message was clear. As tragic as these fires were, the greater tragedy is that they didn’t have to be this bad.
“The astonishing thing is not that Los Angeles burns but that so much of its development has enhanced rather than blunted the threat from fire,” Pyne wrote last month.
Currently a professor emeritus at Arizona State University and living outside Phoenix, Pyne is the author of numerous books that explore the cultural role that fire has played shaping human history.
Cohen, a retired research scientist with the U.S. Forest Service, is an authority on the dynamics of home ignition and has worked with the Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory in Missoula, Mont., where he lives.
“Uncontrollable extreme wildfires are inevitable,” he wrote five years ago, “however, by reducing home ignition potential … we can create ignition resistant homes and communities.”
Frustrated by the continual ineffectiveness of firefighting efforts over the decades, both advocate for a more sophisticated understanding of fire and the ecosystems that foster urban and wildland blazes. Fire is so often viewed as a crisis and emergency that it is divorced from many factors that contribute to its destructive nature — factors that, if addressed, could mitigate the destruction.
This interview with Pyne and Cohen has been edited for length and clarity.
Climate is clearly a serious contributor, but this latest outbreak would not have been as bad if we had listened to what we learned over the last century that had tamed urban wildfires: rigorously enforced fire and building codes; zoning that breaks up large sweeps of fuel; installing a fire protection system adequate to the actual risks; creating an environment in which insurance could function. These reforms, ultimately political, are what caused urban fire to fade across the country. It’s as though, having all but exterminated a plague, we decided we no longer needed to keep up the pyric hygiene that contained it.
What disturbs me the most is that I’m struggling to find the mechanism by which we can come together and have a serious discussion in a coherent way and decide collectively what we need to do. But we haven’t reached that point yet. I think it’s a failure of politics. I think it’s a collapse of our ability to come to a consensus that is accepted as legitimate. Fire spreads much like a contagion. It requires a collective response. I’m not sure we have an adequate process for mustering the necessary social wherewithal.
The dramatic hyperbole of our language describing wildfires is not matched by the mundane reality of how homes and structures ignite during extreme wildfires. The research I and others have done identifies lofted burning embers as the principal source for starting numerous, simultaneous small ignitions within the community. A home’s ignition vulnerabilities — in relation to burning embers and burning materials surrounding the home — lead to destruction. Reduce that vulnerability and you reduce community ignition potential.
Unfortunately this message is ignored especially and undermined when the head of the Forest Service goes before Congress raising expectations of wildfire control by saying the agency suppresses 98% of the fires with the full implication that suppression is possible. The problem with that, of course, is all of our major community wildfire risk problems are in the uncontrollable 2%.
As a result, we end up feeling like victims of fire, and victimization will be an obstacle to problem-solving.
Fire is a systemic issue — touching on ecology, politics, sociology — and we are just not prepared to understand it that way. So we still treat it as a part-time seasonal phenomenon, an occasional emergency.
Many agencies, certainly federal agencies, assume that fire intensity determines community wildfire risk. But fire intensity has nothing to do with structure ignition vulnerability — how a home ignites. Yet still they focus on maintaining low fuel loads — brush abatement, forest thinning — which would burn at a lower intensity but still lead to an uncontrollable extreme wildfire. When our agencies, institutions and politics recognize we have no choice in controlling inevitable extreme wildfires, and recognize that community wildfire risk is a structure ignition problem, then we can create ignition-resistant, fire-spread-resistant communities.
I’m beginning to think that the fire issue is so pervasive in so many of its manifestations that we can’t have a general solution, but neither do we need a universal response. A hundred small things might be enough to add up to big changes.
Let’s end the preposterous problem of power lines that start these fires. Let’s break up landscape-sized monocultures of fuels, whether trees, chaparral or houses. Let’s improve emergency evacuation routes and protocols. Fire touches so many aspects of land and life that there are lots of points of entry to mitigate risk.